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If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
$5,478,819.465 VOL.
$NaN VOL.
$NaN VOL.
$293,593.914 VOL.
$0 VOL.
These markets are provided by Polymarket. Probabilities are calculated as the midpoint between bid and ask prices when available (treating missing bids as 0). For markets with bid-ask spreads wider than 10¢, the last traded price is used when available.