This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between April 14, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
$376,494.446 VOL.
$330,584.722 VOL.
$451,521.107 VOL.
$792,209.497 VOL.
$548,797.763 VOL.
These markets are provided by Polymarket. Probabilities are calculated as the midpoint between bid and ask prices when available (treating missing bids as 0). For markets with bid-ask spreads wider than 10¢, the last traded price is used when available.