This is a market on the likelihood and timing of an Israeli military strike on Iran.
$3,651,331.274 VOL.
$2,042,694.828 VOL.
$607,994.436 VOL.
$562,119.49 VOL.
$499,639.666 VOL.
These markets are provided by Polymarket. Probabilities are calculated as the midpoint between bid and ask prices when available (treating missing bids as 0). For markets with bid-ask spreads wider than 10¢, the last traded price is used when available.