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Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in the state of California before 2026?

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Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in the state of California before 2026?

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in the state of California before 2026?

Bet Now

Climate and Weather

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Predictions
Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in the state of California before 2026?

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in the state of California before 2026?

Bet Now

Climate and Weather

Before 2026

$1,808 VOL.

0%YES 99¢NO 100¢

Rules Summary

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in the state of California or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

No secondary rules available.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Jun 21, 2025, 1:00 PM

Closes: 2026-01-01T04:59:00Z

Pays out: 0.5 hours after closing

If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025, 11:59 PM.

Series KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-26 Event KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-26 Market KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-26