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Prediction Markets

Explore prediction markets for future events

Kalshi Events Polymarket Events

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?

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Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?

Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?

Climate and Weather

Before 2028

$201 VOL.

1%YES 6¢NO 99¢

Rules Summary

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

No secondary rules available.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Jun 21, 2025, 1:00 PM

Closes: 2028-12-31T04:59:00Z

Pays out: 0.5 hours after closing

If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 30, 2028, 11:59 PM.

Series KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28 Event KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28 Market KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-28