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Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

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Politics

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

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Politics

Before Jan 1, 2030

$4,171 VOL.

34%YES 39¢NO 66¢

Before Jan 1, 2029

$5,909 VOL.

34%YES 35¢NO 66¢

Before Jan 1, 2028

$4,551 VOL.

32%YES 33¢NO 68¢

Before Jan 1, 2027

$65,681 VOL.

23%YES 24¢NO 77¢

Before Jul 1, 2026

$10,851 VOL.

6%YES 8¢NO 94¢

Rules Summary

If the U.S. State Department issues, updates, or reaffirms a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

No secondary rules available.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Jan 7, 2026, 10:00 AM

Closes: 2027-01-01T04:59:00Z

Pays out: 0.5 hours after closing

If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.

Series KXTAIWANLVL4 Event KXTAIWANLVL4 Market KXTAIWANLVL4-27JAN01

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