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$3,888 VOL.
If any of OpenAI, xAI, Anthropic, or Google announce that they will no longer release frontier AI models to the public before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
An announcement is sufficient to resolve the market to yes, even if the policy is not in effect until after <date>. Releasing frontier models only behind a paywall is not sufficient to resolve the market to "Yes".
Opened: Jan 9, 2025, 1:00 PM
Closes: 2026-01-01T15:00:00Z
Pays out: 0.5 hours after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2026, 10:00 AM.
Series KXAIRELEASE-26 Event KXAIRELEASE-26 Market KXAIRELEASE-26