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If Shinjiro Koizumi is announced as the first new non-interim leader of Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves when the first new non-interim leader is officially announced by the party or credible sources. The person need not have taken office before the deadline date, only be announced as the incoming leader. Interim or acting leaders do not qualify unless they are subsequently announced as the permanent leader. If multiple persons are simultaneously announced as co-leaders, the market resolves proportionally. Leadership contests that extend beyond the deadline date without an announcement resolve to No. The announcement must come from official party channels or be confirmed by multiple credible news sources.
Opened: Sep 8, 2025, 10:00 AM
Closes: 2026-01-01T04:59:00Z
Pays out: 0.5 hours after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025, 11:59 PM.
Series KXNEXTLDPLEADER-26JAN01 Event KXNEXTLDPLEADER-26JAN01 Market KXNEXTLDPLEADER-26JAN01-SKOI