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Which AI will be the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena?

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Which AI will be the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena?

Which AI will be the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena?

Science and Technology

Gemini

$12,626 VOL.

61%YES 66¢NO 39¢

Grok

$23,425 VOL.

16%YES 21¢NO 84¢

ChatGPT

$11,579 VOL.

13%YES 20¢NO 87¢

DeepSeek

$709 VOL.

2%YES 4¢NO 98¢

Claude

$1,971 VOL.

1%YES 3¢NO 99¢

Rules Summary

If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

No secondary rules available.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Feb 26, 2025, 10:00 AM

Closes: 2026-01-01T15:00:00Z

Pays out: 0.5 hours after closing

If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2026, 10:00 AM.

Series KXMODELHIGH-26 Event KXMODELHIGH-26 Market KXMODELHIGH-26-XAI