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When will a Court order a tariff refund? Odds & Market Details | Bitcoin.com Markets

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Predictions
When will a Court order a tariff refund?

When will a Court order a tariff refund?

Politics

Before Jan 1, 2026

$90,519 VOL.

25%YES 26¢NO 75¢

Before Jul 1, 2026

$0 VOL.

0%YES 0¢NO 100¢

Rules Summary

If a court orders the Trump Administration to refund tariffs collected on or after January 20, 2025, before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

No secondary rules available.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Jun 4, 2025, 10:00 AM

Closes: 2026-01-01T04:59:00Z

Pays out: 0.5 hours after closing

If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025, 11:59 PM.

Series KXTARIFFREFUND-25 Event KXTARIFFREFUND-25 Market KXTARIFFREFUND-25-DEC31