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If the general import tariff rate on imports from Canada into the United States on Jan 1, 2026 is below 10%, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on the general import tariff rate that is actually in effect on the specified date. This includes both universal tariffs on all U.S. imports and country-specific tariffs on the specified country. Only tariffs that are currently active and being collected count - announced but not implemented tariffs, paused tariffs, or suspended tariffs do not qualify. The tariff rate refers to the general baseline rate, not including product-specific duties or exemptions. If multiple general rates apply, the highest rate in effect determines the resolution.
Opened: Sep 7, 2025, 10:00 AM
Closes: 2026-01-01T04:59:00Z
Pays out: 0.5 hours after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025, 11:59 PM.
Series KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JAN01 Event KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JAN01 Market KXTARIFFRATECAN-26JAN01-10