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If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2025, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
Opened: Oct 24, 2025, 10:00 AM
Closes: 2026-01-30T13:29:00Z
Pays out: 0.08333333333333333 hours after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 30, 2026, 8:29 AM.
Series KXGDP-26JAN30 Event KXGDP-26JAN30 Market KXGDP-26JAN30-T2.0