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If the popular vote margin of victory is 6-8.99% for Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC Mayoral Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
The margin of victory is calculated by taking the voting percentage received by Zohran Mamdani minus the percentage of the person finishing immediately behind him, or immediately ahead if he loses. Only certified results are used for resolution. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, or no certified results are available, all markets resolve to No. Recounts that change the certified margin before expiration use the most recent certified results.
Opened: Aug 13, 2025, 10:00 AM
Closes: 2026-11-04T15:00:00Z
Pays out: 0.5 hours after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Nov 4, 2026, 10:00 AM.
Series KXELECTIONMOVZOHRAN-25 Event KXELECTIONMOVZOHRAN-25 Market KXELECTIONMOVZOHRAN-25-ZMAM-B7.5