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If the margin of victory for Mikie Sherrill in New Jersey Gubernatorial Election in New Jersey falls within -100 to -0.01 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
The margin of victory is calculated based on the margin type specified. For percentage points: the difference between the candidate's vote share and their closest competitor's share. For raw votes: the difference in total vote counts. For electoral votes: the difference in electoral votes won. Positive margins indicate the candidate won, negative margins indicate they lost, and zero indicates a tie. For uncontested races, the margin is 100 percentage points or total votes cast. Write-in votes are aggregated as a single candidate if not individually reported. Only certified results are used for resolution. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, or no certified results are available, all markets resolve to No. Recounts that change the certified margin before expiration use the most recent certified results.
Opened: Sep 6, 2025, 10:00 AM
Closes: 2026-11-04T15:00:00Z
Pays out: 0.5 hours after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Nov 4, 2026, 10:00 AM.
Series KXELECTIONMOVNJGOV-25NOV04 Event KXELECTIONMOVNJGOV-25NOV04 Market KXELECTIONMOVNJGOV-25NOV04-N50