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How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025?

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How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025?

How much compute will AI models be trained with in 2025?

Science and Technology

More than 500 billion petaFLOP

$3,302 VOL.

68%YES 78¢NO 32¢

More than 750 billion petaFLOP

$3,008 VOL.

33%YES 43¢NO 67¢

More than 60 billion petaFLOP

$500 VOL.

yes

More than 75 billion petaFLOP

$1,090 VOL.

yes

More than 100 billion petaFLOP

$3,018 VOL.

yes

Rules Summary

If an AI model has been trained with more than 500 billion petaFLOP before 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

No secondary rules available.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Mar 16, 2025, 6:00 PM

Closes: 2026-01-01T15:00:00Z

Pays out: 0.5 hours after closing

If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2026, 10:00 AM.

Series KXFLOP-26 Event KXFLOP-26 Market KXFLOP-26-500