If Trump appoints 2 people to the Federal Reserve Board of Governors before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The count includes new appointments to fill vacant positions, reappointments of current governors to new terms, and appointments to replace governors who leave office. Both standard Senate-confirmed appointments and recess appointments count. Each individual is counted once even if reappointed during the period, unless they leave and are subsequently re-appointed to a different position. An appointment is counted when the individual officially begins service after taking the oath of office, as announced by the Federal Reserve Board or White House.

Series KXGOVAPPTCOUNT-26JAN01 Event KXGOVAPPTCOUNT-26JAN01 Market KXGOVAPPTCOUNT-26JAN01-2