If the margin of victory for Adelita Grijalva in 2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election in Arizona falls within between -100% and 29.99% percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

The margin of victory is calculated based on the margin type specified. For percentage points: the difference between the candidate's vote share and their closest competitor's share. For raw votes: the difference in total vote counts. For electoral votes: the difference in electoral votes won. Positive margins indicate the candidate won, negative margins indicate they lost, and zero indicates a tie. For uncontested races, the margin is 100 percentage points or total votes cast. Write-in votes are aggregated as a single candidate if not individually reported. Only certified results are used for resolution. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, or no certified results are available, all markets resolve to No. Recounts that change the certified margin before expiration use the most recent certified results.

Series KXELECTIONMOVAZ7S-25SEP23 Event KXELECTIONMOVAZ7S-25SEP23 Market KXELECTIONMOVAZ7S-25SEP23-N35