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If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 30, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
Opened: Aug 8, 2025, 12:00 PM
Closes: 2025-09-30T14:00:00Z
Pays out: 1 hours after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Sep 30, 2025, 10:00 AM.
Series KXLLM1-25SEP30 Event KXLLM1-25SEP30 Market KXLLM1-25SEP30-GOOG