If the margin of victory for Abigail Spanberger in Loudoun County in the 2025 Virginia governor election falls between -100% and 11.99%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

The margin of victory is calculated based on the margin type specified. For percentage points: the difference between the candidate's vote share and their closest competitor's share. For raw votes: the difference in total vote counts. For electoral votes: the difference in electoral votes won. Positive margins indicate the candidate won, negative margins indicate they lost, and zero indicates a tie. For uncontested races, the margin is 100 percentage points or total votes cast. Write-in votes are aggregated as a single candidate if not individually reported. Only certified results are used for resolution. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, or no certified results are available, all markets resolve to No. Recounts that change the certified margin before expiration use the most recent certified results.

Series KXLOUDOUNMOVVAGOV-25NOV04 Event KXLOUDOUNMOVVAGOV-25NOV04 Market KXLOUDOUNMOVVAGOV-25NOV04-N44