If the VoteHub time-adjusted average for Donald Trump's approval rating is above 44.4% for Sep 19, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves based on the VoteHub time-adjusted average displayed at the first 10:00 AM ET after the poll date when data is available. The value must match exactly as displayed on VoteHub's platform, including subject name formatting. Values are compared using one decimal place precision. If VoteHub doesn't display data for the specified date, the most recent prior time-adjusted average is used. Only the time-adjusted average counts, not raw polling averages.

Series KXVOTEHUBTRUMPUPDOWN-25SEP19 Event KXVOTEHUBTRUMPUPDOWN-25SEP19 Market KXVOTEHUBTRUMPUPDOWN-25SEP19