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If the VoteHub time-adjusted average for Donald Trump's approval rating is above 44.1% at 10:00 AM October 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on the VoteHub time-adjusted average displayed at 10:00 AM ET on October 3. The value must match exactly as displayed on VoteHub's platform, including subject name formatting. Values are compared using one decimal place precision. If VoteHub doesn't display data for the specified date, the most recent prior time-adjusted average is used. Only the time-adjusted average counts, not raw polling averages.
Opened: Sep 28, 2025, 10:00 AM
Closes: 2025-10-03T03:59:00Z
Pays out: 0.5 hours after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Oct 2, 2025, 11:59 PM.
Series KXVOTEHUBTRUMPUPDOWN-25OCT02 Event KXVOTEHUBTRUMPUPDOWN-25OCT02 Market KXVOTEHUBTRUMPUPDOWN-25OCT02